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Latest Assignments

Poll Status Today

In an election campaign of such surprises and changes, the polls over the past week are a revealing contrast.

After the sharp increase in Liberal Democrat support in the weekend just after the first debate, very little has moved. The Tories went up slightly towards the end of last week, though that progress may now have stalled, Labour has been stuck, while the Lib Dems may have eased a point. But all this is within the margin of error and the usual random movements in all polls.

The overnight batch of polls all put the Tories at about 32 to 34 per cent (with three out of the four showing a slight fall in Tory support); Labour is at 28 per cent in three long-established polls; and the Lib Dems within a point of 30 per cent.

The order matters a lot for any post-election bargaining.